5 Sept · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1222
FormWLLLL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Mucha
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1517
FormWWWWW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+295
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+295)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)