5 Sept · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1316
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Suchecki
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1296
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.