5 Sept · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1391
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Piotrowski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1328
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H30-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-28)