5 Sept · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1393
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1481
FormWLLLL
40%
60%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 69% (49)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)