5 Sept · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1583
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lach
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1481
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)