5 Sept · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1448
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1518
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)