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05 Sep · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1341
1-3Final setsSzoltysek won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1332
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 55%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Jaroslaw Rolak — profile →Artur Szoltysek — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 48% → final 95%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts71 points · 4 games