5 Sept · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1453
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sulkowski
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1384
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)