5 Sept · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1578
FormLWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1708
FormLWWWW
36%
64%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 64% (92)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H40-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-9)