5 Sept · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1453
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1403
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)