5 Sept · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1713
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tkaczyk
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1658
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 64% (92)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H22-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)