5 Sept · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1664
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pawlik
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1573
FormLLWLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H10-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)