6 Sept · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KG
🇵🇱Krystian Gudzik
ELO 1496
FormLLWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1692
FormLLWLW
30%
70%
⚡ Cover lean · Tkaczyk🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 64% (92)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)