6 Sept · 00:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1327
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1468
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)