6 Sept · 00:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1569
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fomin
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)