6 Sept · 00:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1520
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szymik
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1497
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.