5 Sept · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1692
FormLLWLW
26%
74%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 64% (92)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)