6 Sept · 02:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1463
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gudzik
KG
🇵🇱Krystian Gudzik
ELO 1490
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Gudzik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.