6 Sept · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1560
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fomin
KG
🇵🇱Krystian Gudzik
ELO 1490
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Gudzik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)