6 Sept · 01:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1523
FormWWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Szymik
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1350
FormWLLWW
68%
32%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~72 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H42-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-20)