6 Sept · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1468
FormLWWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1668
FormLLWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)