6 Sept · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1354
FormWLWLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1581
FormWLWWW
27%
73%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Polok
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~72 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+227
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)