6 Sept · 05:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1498
FormLWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Bernacki
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1381
FormLLLLW
63%
37%
🌟Bernacki rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (13)
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)