6 Sept · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1273
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1308
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.