6 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇵🇱Tomasz Pisarczyk
ELO 1358
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zagajewski
MZ
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1415
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Zagajewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)