6 Sept · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1458
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wasilewski
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1491
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Wasilewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.