6 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1385
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Idaczyk
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1442
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Idaczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)