6 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1262
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1327
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)