6 Sept · 15:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1288
FormWLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1399
FormLWWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)