6 Sept · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1415
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Piotrowski
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1253
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H34-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-14)