6 Sept · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1474
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wojcik
RP
🇵🇱Roman Piechnik
ELO 1424
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Wojcik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)