6 Sept · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1426
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zagajewski
TP
🇵🇱Tomasz Pisarczyk
ELO 1359
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Zagajewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)