6 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1304
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1352
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H17-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-4)