6 Sept · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1247
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1339
FormLWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)