6 Sept · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1550
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Oracz
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1533
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.