6 Sept · 19:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1220
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jozala
WJ
🇵🇱Waldemar Jozala
ELO 1348
FormLWLWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Jozala
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)