6 Sept · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1564
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Juszczyk
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1528
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H16-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.