6 Sept · 18:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1453
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1543
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H11-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-0)