6 Sept · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1585
FormWWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lach
RP
🇵🇱Roman Piechnik
ELO 1434
FormLWLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)