6 Sept · 21:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1306
FormLLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1475
FormLWLLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~80 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H23-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-16)