6 Sept · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1556
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jadach
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1471
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)