6 Sept · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1377
FormLWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Sawicki
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1209
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H28-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-11)