6 Sept · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1561
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+116
H2H25-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-19)