6 Sept · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1314
FormWLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1469
FormWWWLL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)