6 Sept · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1439
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1499
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H81-84
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)