7 Sept · 00:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1560
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamus
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1548
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 64% (88)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.