7 Sept · 00:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1380
FormLLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1469
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)