6 Sept · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1322
FormWWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Linek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1463
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Linek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)