6 Sept · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1548
FormWWWWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Krupa
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1214
FormLWLLL
81%
19%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~73 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
29%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+334
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+334)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)