7 Sept · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1567
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Krupa
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1366
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)